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stix Longtime Member
Joined: 17 Oct 2003 Posts: 5184 Location: USofA
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Posted: Tue Mar 29, 2011 5:23 am Post subject: FACT CHECK: How Obama's Libya claims fit the facts |
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This is an interesting fact check Associated Press article on the President Obama's speech last night on Libya. AP's observations from the article,
| Quote: | ...the United States will not be taking a back seat in the campaign even as its profile diminishes for public consumption.
Despite insistences that the operation is only to protect civilians, the airstrikes now are undeniably helping the rebels to advance.
Obama did not wait to make that case to Congress, despite his past statements that presidents should get congressional authorization before taking the country to war, absent a threat to the nation that cannot wait.
The weeklong international barrage has disabled Libya's air defenses, communications networks and supply chains. But Gadhafi's ground forces remain a potent threat to the rebels and civilians, according to U.S. military officials.
Mass violence against civilians has also been escalating elsewhere, without any U.S. military intervention anticipated.....The Obama administration says Gbagbo and Gadhafi have both lost their legitimacy to rule. But only one is under attack from the U.S. |
My personal view is that we do not need a 3rd war, and especially one that does not have a clear benefit to this nation, and may produce results that we like far less than leaving another crackpot dictator in power. However if we absolutely had to pick a nation to "help", I would have voted for Syria who is on our 'State Sponsor of Terrorism' list (whereas Libya is not)....
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RestonResident Longtime Member
Joined: 12 Nov 2006 Posts: 1266
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Posted: Tue Mar 29, 2011 12:47 pm Post subject: |
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1. syria doesnt have a visible uprising.
2. with libya, france in particular wanted to do this. this way they can be forced to do more and pay more.
3. There is way too much free riding from our allies. Libya lets them have to bear more of the cost. This stuff is really expensive.
4. libya has oil. Oil > syria and hezbollah.
5. alot more world sympathy for hating on Qadafi than the leader of Syria. Which means we get a UN mandate, which means we can go "ok write a check and you pay for it".
The non-US members of NATO and Arab countries should take most of this over AND pay for it. They are more than capable of handling this.
A few things that are annoying me about this.
1. Why isnt Qadafi a target? Kill him and be done with it. Why is it ok to kill some janitors at a base who need a job or soldiers (many may be pressed into action) than it is to kill this guy? Kill him. Kill his kids. Kill his friends. Just be done with him.
2. If we are going to do this, why isn't the goal regime change? I am ok with Obama giving lip service to the UN mandate of only protecting civilians. However, Qadafi needs to be killed. Or we will be stuck paying for a stupid no fly zone for 10 years. Get rid of him and lets go home.
3. It is a hell of alot cheaper to arm the rebels than launch missiles and planes. Why aren't we doing that? Again make the allies pay for it, but why isn't that part of the plan?
4. We need real reporting on this. Not the garbage we got so far. What is the REAL political situation in Libya. What is the tribal situation? Is there any religious strife?
CAn these people get along and not kill each other without a dictator? Libya, like Iraq is a country formed after colonialism. It was another one of those English and French inventions. Basically "uh oh, we can't afford to colonize the world, so lets slap people together and draw a border".
Where is the real reporting on what the political and social structure is like in Libya? Every country is different. What about real reporting on the "rebels". Who are they? Of course they are not organized. You don't organize an army in 2 months. That is a "duh". How many different rebel factions are there? Is it tribal or ethnic based? Will they just kil other groups when qadafi is gone.
seriously. the press just wants to throw up pictures and do not do any real work. It took years for the press to even look into ethnic issues in iraq, because they are so lazy. This isn't liberal or conservative. Foxnews doesnt do it either. |
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Bob Bruhns Longtime Member

Joined: 15 Oct 2003 Posts: 10441 Location: Herndon, Virginia, USA
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Posted: Tue Mar 29, 2011 2:20 pm Post subject: |
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Evidently the PNAC is still running the executive branch of our government.
The USA seems to have involved itself in a civil war. Why? Well, we don't care about abuses except where oil is concerned. We are making ourselves one of the colonial powers now.
We should either stop playing this game, or stop pretending, because we are only fooling ourselves. We are a meddling power, looking out for our own interests and the interests of our big corporations. Obama was talking just recently about how Gaddafi had to go. And well before the 2008 elections, Hillary Clinton was talking about 'another regime change' in Iraq when she didn't like what their elected government was doing. What we are really saying is "You serve at our pleasure, and we will take you out if you displease us."
RR is right about colonial powers just slamming people together and drawing a border. He is also right about the source of the conflicts: tribal, religious, etc. It matters, and we ignore it at our peril. _________________ Government debt and deficits are robbing your children, your grandchildren, and your great-grandchildren. http://www.usdebtclock.org/ |
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Chester Longtime Member
Joined: 18 Oct 2003 Posts: 2194
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Posted: Tue Mar 29, 2011 5:55 pm Post subject: |
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Neither side in this civil war is friendly to the US. If the rebels should win, they will probably want the US out as quickly as possible. Their history is to resist Western military presence in the Muslim world.
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Shortly after unrest broke out in eastern Libya in mid-February, reports emerged that an “Islamic Emirate” had been declared in the eastern Libyan town of Darnah and that, furthermore, the alleged head of that Emirate, Abdul-Hakim al-Hasadi, was a former detainee at the American prison camp in Guantánamo. The reports, which originated from Libyan government sources, were largely ignored or dismissed in the Western media.
http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/rebel-commander-in-libya-fought-against-u-s-in-afghanistan/
An analysis of the documents by the U.S. Military Academy's Combating Terrorism Center found that Libya sent more fighters to Iraq on a per-capita basis than any other Muslim country, including Saudi Arabia. Perhaps more alarmingly for Western policymakers, most of the fighters came from eastern Libya, the center of the current uprising against Muammar el-Qaddafi.
“Libyans were more fired up to travel to Iraq to kill Americans than anyone else in the Arabic-speaking world,” Andrew Exum, a counterinsurgency specialist and former Army Ranger noted in a blog posting on Thursday. “This might explain why those rebels from Libya's eastern provinces are not too excited about U.S. military intervention. It might also give some pause to those in the United States so eager to arm Libya's rebels.”
http://www.nationaljournal.com/nationalsecurity/once-secret-iraqi-documents-offer-lesson-for-libya-20110311
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stix Longtime Member
Joined: 17 Oct 2003 Posts: 5184 Location: USofA
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Posted: Wed Mar 30, 2011 11:31 am Post subject: |
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I do not agree with the emerging Obama doctrine that says if the international community asks, we should send our military into a country whose leadership is committing human rights abuses. To support the notion of democracy and freedom is one thing, but to actively shoot missiles and drop bombs, and to put US lives on the line is quite another.
As SecDef Gates said, Libya is not a “vital interest’ to the US.. especially not the 2% of our oil we get from them...
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RestonResident Longtime Member
Joined: 12 Nov 2006 Posts: 1266
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Posted: Wed Mar 30, 2011 12:06 pm Post subject: |
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That's not really what Obama is saying. What he is saying is that he wants other countries to bear a lot of the cost. When we "lead" by ourselves, it means we do it alone and bear the costs. Other countries free-ride. This method makes them spend money and resources.
I agree with it. |
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stix Longtime Member
Joined: 17 Oct 2003 Posts: 5184 Location: USofA
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Posted: Wed Mar 30, 2011 12:16 pm Post subject: |
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With regard to Lybia, that is exactly what he is saying. What part of "not a vital interest" is not understood?
We are up to nearly $600 million cost so far and we will not really get out, but remain in the background, doing Frances' dirty work and spending money we don't have.
The first service person that gets killed (since we have 'boots on the ground' now despite Obama claims) will bring some sanity to Obama's action's taken without Congressional approval...
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Chester Longtime Member
Joined: 18 Oct 2003 Posts: 2194
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Posted: Wed Mar 30, 2011 10:36 pm Post subject: |
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Reuters reports Obama had signed a secret order authorizing covert military aid to the Libyan rebels several weeks ago.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/30/us-libya-usa-order-idUSTRE72T6H220110330
There were news reports around that time that the US and UK had special forces in the "desert" to help their civilian countrymen escape the civil war. They were probably there to identify targets for the air strikes to take out Qaddafi and his military assets. There were also reports that the US flew special planes for broadcasting propaganda targeted at Qaddafi's forces. |
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stix Longtime Member
Joined: 17 Oct 2003 Posts: 5184 Location: USofA
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Posted: Thu Mar 31, 2011 5:13 am Post subject: |
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When will we ever learn?
Viet Nam.. we sent in a few ‘advisors’ to start and then the military.
Iraq.. Brutal dictator fakes to the world he has WMD.. we went in for a 'short' war which turned out to be a protracted civil war.
Libya.. Brutal dictator threatens to kill some of his people... we send in a few ‘advisors’ and start by launching air strikes in his civil war.
Answer to my question.. apparently never...
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RestonResident Longtime Member
Joined: 12 Nov 2006 Posts: 1266
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Posted: Fri Apr 01, 2011 11:22 am Post subject: |
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| stix wrote: | When will we ever learn?
Viet Nam.. we sent in a few ‘advisors’ to start and then the military.
Iraq.. Brutal dictator fakes to the world he has WMD.. we went in for a 'short' war which turned out to be a protracted civil war.
Libya.. Brutal dictator threatens to kill some of his people... we send in a few ‘advisors’ and start by launching air strikes in his civil war.
Answer to my question.. apparently never...
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Libya is an extension of the Bush doctrine. This doctrine actually started with the first Bush going into Somalia. If you read Bush's autobiography, he has a chapter on the Freedom Agenda. This is an evolutionary strategy.
It makes Americans feel good to free other people. We think that if we do it, others will follow. But no, most countries are shallow. Just look at Cuba. We lead, and everyone just gave BS. Most countries did not contribute what they pledge. Obama thinks that if we do this, this will make people like us more and for that reason make us more powerful. Bush did also.
I don't think so. Dictators are good at manipulating their press. There are also nationalism concerns. People in other countries don't want to be lead unless they get something out of it. International politics is about self interest. However, Americans want to feel like we are doing the right thing. Its not just Obama. Lots of right wingers in congress favor this as well.
I don't think this strengthens us. I think it saps our resources. I also don't get why we are not trying to kill Qaddafi and all his commanders. I don't get the moral reason that its ok to kill some low level soldier who may be there because he was told to or just needs the money. But you can kill the guy in charge. Just whack him and be done with it.
There is a very good and classic book called The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers by Paul Kennedy. He is not related the the famous Kennedy's so its safe for Styx to read.
He looks at World History from about 1500 until the 1980s. He looks over the long term how the different great powers rose and fell. Spain, England, France, and now the US (the book is dated since its from the 1980s, but very good). His conclusion is that the Top power in the world gets entangled in so many obligations that they feel they can't let go, that it drains resources. Then the #2 power does not have those entanglements, and can boomerang past them.
Spain was constantly at war in the 1500s and 1600s and then they collapsed
England and France boomeranged past.
Germany Boomeranged past England and France in the last 1800s, since they did not have colonies that sapped resources.
The US boomeranged past everyone since we did not suffer during the 2 world wars as much.
It is outstanding. It's also cold blood. Basically China is following a mercantilist economic policy. They are just trying to improve their economy. While we sap our resources on things like Libya. The same thing is happening. We feel we "have" to maintain world peace. Its in "our" interest. I don't see why.
I also dont think the old fashioned alliance structure will really matter in this century. I think the wars will be economy and not military. World powers trade too heavily with each other to go to war, and weapons are too powerful. Plus just getting more land does not really make you stronger anymore. However, a military ally, does not make someone an economic ally.
That is a great book. It is not liberal or democratic. Most of it isn't even about the US. There is alot of political and military history. So you have to be interested in that. I thought it was fascinating. |
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stix Longtime Member
Joined: 17 Oct 2003 Posts: 5184 Location: USofA
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Posted: Fri Apr 01, 2011 12:20 pm Post subject: |
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| RestonResident wrote: | | Its not just Obama. Lots of right wingers in congress favor this as well. |
A Quinnipiac poll of registered voters this week indicated that they oppose America's involvement in Libya 47 - 41 percent. Obama's approval rating has dropped as well.
I am convinced that if Obama would have gone to Congress for approval of this new war, Obama and his administration would not have been able to convince them, and he would have been turned down...
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Chester Longtime Member
Joined: 18 Oct 2003 Posts: 2194
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Posted: Sat Apr 02, 2011 1:03 pm Post subject: |
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The US was probably already involved in Libya as soon as the Egypt revolt was squashed and control of the government was handed over to the the head of their equivalent of the CIA which works closely with the US CIA. Egypt's special forces were reportedly in Libya training the rebels as far back as February before there was armed conflict with the Kaddafi government. This whole thing is starting to look like Kosovo, where US and European intelligence were arming and training the KLA to provoke the Serbian government into military action that would serve as a pretext for NATO intervention.
The EU has authorized ground forces in Libya. It looks like the US will do so soon.
http://www.darkgovernment.com/news/admiral-admits-ground-forces-may-hit-libya/ |
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CaptHacker
Joined: 28 Feb 2005 Posts: 420
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Posted: Sat Apr 02, 2011 1:16 pm Post subject: |
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I, too, can post a link from any web site on the web and submit it as "evidence." Using the source of Chester's link above from the entirely credible "DarkGovernment" web site, perhaps, I argue, you should consider the possibility of extra-terrestrial intervention in all these revolutions:
http://www.darkgovernment.com/ufo.html
What, on this site, will be submitted as "fact" next time? A link from Glenn Beck espousing conspiracy theories or one of Fox News "factual" reports? _________________ George W. Bush....he didn't raise your taxes, he lowered your income!! |
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Chester Longtime Member
Joined: 18 Oct 2003 Posts: 2194
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Posted: Sat Apr 02, 2011 7:42 pm Post subject: |
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| See the bottom of the linked article. The story comes from the European newswire service Agence France-Presse via Rawstory. |
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Bob Bruhns Longtime Member

Joined: 15 Oct 2003 Posts: 10441 Location: Herndon, Virginia, USA
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Posted: Sun Apr 03, 2011 3:20 am Post subject: |
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Link to Raw Story article
The difficulty now, is deciding who is a reliable source. Every news source is suspect. _________________ Government debt and deficits are robbing your children, your grandchildren, and your great-grandchildren. http://www.usdebtclock.org/ |
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